Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 48.5% vs Thornton 52.4% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 64.5%
Defensive zone
Strome 61.5%
Neutral zone
Strome 63.7%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 63.7%
63.7%
36.3%
Strome
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Strome
Thornton
Last 7: Strome 2-5 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
1
Strome
Thornton
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
1
Strome
Thornton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
3
Strome
Thornton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (829)
52.5% (638)
-5.2%
Power Play
69.0% (58)
57.1% (35)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (10)
50.0% (2)
-30.0%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Strome is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (578).
Strome shoots left. Thornton is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Home / Away
Strome
Thornton
Home
49.8% (468)
54.8% (341)
Away
46.9% (429)
50.6% (334)
By Period
Strome
Thornton
P1
46.1%
55.2%
P2
52.9%
56.5%
P3
46.3%
47.1%
OT
33.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
48.4%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2019 | 1 | 01:52 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 3 | 04:38 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 3 | 04:27 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 3 | 01:17 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 3 | 01:12 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 1 | 16:20 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 1 | 02:08 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |