Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 51.6% vs Thornton 54.3% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 80.2%
Defensive zone
Thornton 53.8%
Neutral zone
Strome 55.4%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Strome
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Strome
Thornton
Last 10: Strome 5-5 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
4
3
Strome
Thornton
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
2
Strome
Thornton
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
3
Strome
Thornton
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (6,337)
53.5% (6,640)
-3.4%
Power Play
58.4% (1,519)
57.2% (1,387)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (68)
56.7% (427)
-11.1%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Strome is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,269).
Strome shoots left. Thornton is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,220).
Home / Away
Strome
Thornton
Home
51.1% (3,968)
55.8% (4,271)
Away
52.2% (3,956)
52.8% (4,219)
By Period
Strome
Thornton
P1
50.4%
55.0%
P2
52.1%
53.3%
P3
52.3%
54.4%
OT
52.8%
56.4%
Final 5 min
52.3%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
51.6%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2022 | 2 | 07:40 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 04:57 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 04:39 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 2 | 02:41 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 05:51 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 1 | 01:52 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 3 | 04:38 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 3 | 04:27 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 3 | 01:17 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 3 | 01:12 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 1 | 16:20 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 1 | 02:08 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 11:38 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |