Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Strome wins 54.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 58.1% vs Stenlund 54.2% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 73.2%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 87.4%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 68.0%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 71.4%
28.6%
71.4%
Strome
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Strome
Stenlund
Last 5: Strome 0-5 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
1
Strome
Stenlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
3
Strome
Stenlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
1
Strome
Stenlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (848)
56.2% (605)
+0.2%
Power Play
66.4% (295)
53.2% (47)
+13.2%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
51.8% (305)
-10.1%
On power play, Strome has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Strome is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Strome shoots left. Stenlund is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (638).
Home / Away
Strome
Stenlund
Home
55.8% (616)
57.0% (446)
Away
62.2% (539)
52.6% (511)
By Period
Strome
Stenlund
P1
61.8%
55.4%
P2
54.6%
53.2%
P3
60.5%
56.2%
OT
50.0%
41.2%
Final 5 min
57.7%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
48.0%▼
56.5%
58.8%
Stenlund
56.0%▼
58.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 06:02 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 01:18 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 13:38 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 10:05 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 06:18 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |