Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Strome wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 48.9% vs Stenlund 52.7% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 88.9%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 84.8%
Neutral zone
Strome 54.8%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 62.1%
37.9%
62.1%
Strome
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Strome
Stenlund
Last 5: Strome 2-3 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Stenlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
3
Strome
Stenlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Stenlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (894)
58.2% (359)
-9.9%
Power Play
50.5% (182)
47.1% (17)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (6)
42.0% (150)
+24.7%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +24.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Strome is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (386).
Strome shoots left. Stenlund is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Home / Away
Strome
Stenlund
Home
46.4% (513)
53.6% (261)
Away
51.0% (569)
52.8% (265)
By Period
Strome
Stenlund
P1
44.9%
55.4%
P2
50.8%
51.5%
P3
49.7%
52.9%
Final 5 min
49.6%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
48.8%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 10:43 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 06:42 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 13:15 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 11:08 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 04:00 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |