Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Strome wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 53.4% vs Jankowski 50.5% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 87.3%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 82.4%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 55.9%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Strome
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Strome
Jankowski
Last 8: Strome 3-5 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Strome
Jankowski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
4
Strome
Jankowski
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
2
0
Strome
Jankowski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (968)
51.3% (347)
+1.3%
Power Play
56.9% (311)
72.7% (11)
-15.8%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
44.0% (75)
+18.5%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Strome is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Strome shoots left. Jankowski is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (270).
Home / Away
Strome
Jankowski
Home
53.4% (653)
46.8% (188)
Away
53.9% (634)
53.5% (245)
By Period
Strome
Jankowski
P1
49.3%
51.6%
P2
54.6%
49.3%
P3
56.7%
50.9%
Final 5 min
56.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
53.7%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 2 | 09:27 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 1 | 17:43 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 1 | 14:41 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 1 | 02:26 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 05:43 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:16 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 19:29 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |