Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Strome wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Necas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 48.9% vs Necas 46.0% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 79.3%
Defensive zone
Strome 60.7%
Neutral zone
Strome 66.0%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 66.0%
66.0%
34.0%
Strome
Necas
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Strome
Necas
Last 7: Strome 5-2 Necas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Strome
Necas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
4
1
Strome
Necas
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Necas
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (894)
44.5% (339)
+3.8%
Power Play
50.5% (182)
47.4% (57)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (6)
47.6% (21)
+19.1%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Necas shoots right. Strome is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (386).
Strome shoots left. Necas is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Home / Away
Strome
Necas
Home
46.4% (513)
44.8% (203)
Away
51.0% (569)
45.3% (214)
By Period
Strome
Necas
P1
44.9%
46.8%
P2
50.8%
40.0%
P3
49.7%
50.0%
OT
77.8%
37.5%
Final 5 min
49.6%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
48.8%
Necas
36.0%▼
38.0%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 01:44 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 03:41 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 03:40 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:48 | Offensive | Martin Necas |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 05:56 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 04:38 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 1 | 05:07 | Defensive | Martin Necas |