Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Strome wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 58.0% vs McCarron 52.5% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 94.3%
Defensive zone
McCarron 74.0%
Neutral zone
Strome 66.0%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 66.1%
66.1%
33.9%
Strome
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
7
(19 meetings)
12
7
Strome
McCarron
Last 10: Strome 6-4 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
9
1
Strome
McCarron
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
6
Strome
McCarron
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
2
0
Strome
McCarron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (856)
53.1% (672)
+3.1%
Power Play
66.4% (298)
18.2% (11)
+48.2%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
53.7% (205)
-12.0%
On power play, Strome has a +48.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Strome is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (358).
Strome shoots left. McCarron is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Strome
McCarron
Home
55.7% (627)
52.8% (477)
Away
62.2% (539)
52.8% (411)
By Period
Strome
McCarron
P1
61.6%
56.5%
P2
54.5%
53.2%
P3
60.4%
49.0%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
58.7%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 13:03 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 10:14 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 00:51 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 11:24 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 01:40 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 17:47 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 15:15 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 15:11 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 10:54 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 12:24 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 08:18 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 00:31 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 18:10 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 12:47 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 00:56 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 15:09 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 13:15 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 10:19 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 05:15 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |