Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.7% vs 54.4%). Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Strome wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 53.4% vs McCarron 54.0% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 86.5%
Defensive zone
McCarron 91.7%
Neutral zone
McCarron 55.3%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 70.9%
70.9%
29.1%
Strome
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Strome
McCarron
Last 5: Strome 4-1 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
4
0
Strome
McCarron
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Strome
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (968)
54.2% (756)
-1.6%
Power Play
56.9% (311)
55.6% (9)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
55.1% (158)
+7.4%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Strome is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Strome shoots left. McCarron is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
Strome
McCarron
Home
53.4% (653)
54.6% (445)
Away
53.9% (634)
54.2% (478)
By Period
Strome
McCarron
P1
49.3%
53.6%
P2
54.6%
55.6%
P3
56.7%
53.7%
OT
62.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
53.7%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 16:21 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 14:44 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 3 | 04:34 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 3 | 04:29 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 2 | 08:14 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |