Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 48.9% vs Backlund 50.8% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 59.8%
Defensive zone
Backlund 82.6%
Neutral zone
Backlund 63.3%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Strome
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Strome
Backlund
Last 10: Strome 6-4 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
3
1
Strome
Backlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
2
Strome
Backlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
5
3
Strome
Backlund
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (894)
51.9% (1,083)
-3.6%
Power Play
50.5% (182)
51.7% (120)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (6)
44.3% (183)
+22.4%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Strome is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Strome shoots left. Backlund is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Home / Away
Strome
Backlund
Home
46.4% (513)
51.9% (673)
Away
51.0% (569)
49.9% (713)
By Period
Strome
Backlund
P1
44.9%
51.4%
P2
50.8%
50.5%
P3
49.7%
51.4%
OT
77.8%
35.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
48.8%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 13:23 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 08:35 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 03:45 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 00:34 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 00:27 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 18:18 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 11:15 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 07:54 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 15:37 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 15:17 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 18:59 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 03:37 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |