Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 48.9% vs Frost 46.2% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 65.6%
Defensive zone
Frost 56.1%
Neutral zone
Strome 50.5%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Strome
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Strome
Frost
Last 8: Strome 4-4 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
2
Strome
Frost
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Strome
Frost
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
2
1
Strome
Frost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (894)
45.6% (833)
+2.7%
Power Play
50.5% (182)
46.0% (100)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (6)
55.6% (18)
+11.1%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Strome is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Strome shoots left. Frost is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (625).
Home / Away
Strome
Frost
Home
46.4% (513)
47.0% (440)
Away
51.0% (569)
44.8% (511)
By Period
Strome
Frost
P1
44.9%
42.5%
P2
50.8%
47.9%
P3
49.7%
46.6%
OT
77.8%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.6%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
48.8%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2023 | 3 | 09:24 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 3 | 09:18 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 3 | 04:59 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 2 | 19:03 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 1 | 15:47 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 2 | 13:46 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 1 | 14:10 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 11:57 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |