Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Strome wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 52.1% vs Thompson 54.3% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 90.1%
Defensive zone
Thompson 70.1%
Neutral zone
Strome 63.8%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Strome
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Strome
Thompson
Last 10: Strome 4-6 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
3
0
Strome
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
6
Strome
Thompson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Strome
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (684)
55.5% (236)
-4.9%
Power Play
58.9% (192)
60.0% (5)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
56.5% (46)
-23.2%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Strome is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (580).
Strome shoots left. Thompson is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Strome
Thompson
Home
51.3% (448)
53.1% (128)
Away
53.4% (431)
57.9% (159)
By Period
Strome
Thompson
P1
51.4%
59.0%
P2
54.6%
55.4%
P3
50.7%
52.6%
Final 5 min
53.2%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
52.3%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2022 | 3 | 10:51 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 25, 2022 | 3 | 03:09 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 25, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 25, 2022 | 2 | 19:02 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 25, 2022 | 2 | 16:26 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 25, 2022 | 2 | 16:16 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 25, 2022 | 2 | 13:23 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 25, 2022 | 1 | 10:23 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 25, 2022 | 1 | 06:50 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 25, 2022 | 1 | 02:47 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 25, 2022 | 1 | 00:17 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |