Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Strome wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 52.6% vs Carpenter 48.2% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 92.1%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 64.9%
Neutral zone
Strome 56.1%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 84.0%
84.0%
16.0%
Strome
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Strome
Carpenter
Last 7: Strome 5-2 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
5
1
Strome
Carpenter
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
1
Strome
Carpenter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (1,002)
48.8% (404)
+1.8%
Power Play
59.9% (299)
100.0% (1)
-40.1%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
43.6% (101)
+14.3%
On power play, Carpenter has a +40.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Strome is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (432).
Strome shoots left. Carpenter is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (366).
Home / Away
Strome
Carpenter
Home
51.9% (700)
48.9% (274)
Away
53.9% (620)
46.6% (232)
By Period
Strome
Carpenter
P1
51.6%
51.9%
P2
53.0%
49.4%
P3
54.3%
41.8%
OT
44.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
52.8%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2023 | 1 | 04:04 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 3 | 17:17 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 2 | 19:09 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 2 | 10:57 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 2 | 06:54 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 2 | 06:40 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 2 | 01:43 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |