Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 27 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 51.6% vs Kuraly 50.3% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 30-30 in 60 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 85.7%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 83.4%
Neutral zone
Strome 51.3%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Strome
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
30
(60 meetings)
30
30
Strome
Kuraly
Last 10: Strome 3-7 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
18
0
Strome
Kuraly
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
4
23
Strome
Kuraly
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
8
7
Strome
Kuraly
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (6,337)
51.5% (5,141)
-1.4%
Power Play
58.4% (1,519)
56.0% (100)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (68)
44.2% (1,086)
+1.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Strome is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,269).
Strome shoots left. Kuraly is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,102).
Home / Away
Strome
Kuraly
Home
51.1% (3,968)
51.9% (3,187)
Away
52.2% (3,956)
48.7% (3,141)
By Period
Strome
Kuraly
P1
50.4%
51.1%
P2
52.1%
49.9%
P3
52.3%
50.0%
OT
52.8%
52.3%
Final 5 min
52.3%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
51.6%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 16:40 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 14:06 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 04:38 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 15:40 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 13:54 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 17:54 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 16:57 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 01:17 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 07:49 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 3 | 19:34 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 3 | 19:29 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 3 | 19:02 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 3 | 12:44 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 3 | 04:39 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 2 | 18:00 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 2 | 12:42 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:19 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 1 | 19:39 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 1 | 19:25 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |