Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Strome wins 60.7% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 58.4% vs Lorentz 51.5% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 79.2%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 81.2%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 65.3%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 81.2%
18.8%
81.2%
Strome
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Strome
Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lorentz
0
1
Strome
Lorentz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (704)
56.7% (60)
-0.2%
Power Play
67.5% (243)
0.0% (1)
+67.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
40.0% (10)
+10.0%
On power play, Strome has a +67.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Strome is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (675).
Strome shoots left. Lorentz is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (43).
Home / Away
Strome
Lorentz
Home
55.2% (496)
55.6% (54)
Away
63.6% (461)
47.1% (17)
By Period
Strome
Lorentz
P1
62.0%
57.9%
P2
55.0%
55.2%
P3
61.4%
47.8%
Final 5 min
57.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
70.0%▲
59.5%
59.2%
Lorentz
58.0%▲
47.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 11:43 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |