Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Strome wins 60.4% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 58.0% vs Lorentz 50.0% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 82.4%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 79.4%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 63.2%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 79.4%
20.6%
79.4%
Strome
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Strome
Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lorentz
0
1
Strome
Lorentz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (856)
52.2% (67)
+4.0%
Power Play
66.4% (298)
50.0% (2)
+16.4%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
42.9% (21)
-1.2%
On power play, Strome has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Strome is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (808).
Strome shoots left. Lorentz is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (55).
Home / Away
Strome
Lorentz
Home
55.7% (627)
55.4% (65)
Away
62.2% (539)
36.0% (25)
By Period
Strome
Lorentz
P1
61.6%
59.3%
P2
54.5%
47.1%
P3
60.4%
44.8%
Final 5 min
57.6%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
58.7%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 11:43 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |