Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 47.9%). Look for Lorentz on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 48.9% vs Lorentz 48.2% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 75.5%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 73.2%
Neutral zone
Strome 50.8%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Strome
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Strome
Lorentz
Last 6: Strome 3-3 Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lorentz
0
1
Strome
Lorentz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lorentz
1
2
Strome
Lorentz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
2
0
Strome
Lorentz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (894)
48.3% (497)
+0.0%
Power Play
50.5% (182)
63.6% (11)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (6)
38.5% (39)
+28.2%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +28.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Strome is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Strome shoots left. Lorentz is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (344).
Home / Away
Strome
Lorentz
Home
46.4% (513)
50.4% (238)
Away
51.0% (569)
46.0% (309)
By Period
Strome
Lorentz
P1
44.9%
49.1%
P2
50.8%
48.0%
P3
49.7%
47.2%
OT
77.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
48.8%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 16:52 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 05:31 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 15:28 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 11:30 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 08:16 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 3 | 18:24 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |