Scouting Report
Steven Lorentz holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 47.6% vs Lorentz 50.9% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 51.9%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 75.2%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 65.1%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 66.3%
33.7%
66.3%
Strome
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Strome
Lorentz
Last 6: Strome 4-2 Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Lorentz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Strome
Lorentz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
2
1
Strome
Lorentz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (310)
51.7% (292)
-5.2%
Power Play
49.1% (110)
40.0% (10)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
42.9% (7)
-42.9%
On penalty kill, Lorentz has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Strome is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Strome shoots left. Lorentz is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (203).
Home / Away
Strome
Lorentz
Home
46.3% (216)
52.3% (155)
Away
47.8% (205)
50.0% (154)
By Period
Strome
Lorentz
P1
48.5%
59.2%
P2
50.7%
50.9%
P3
41.5%
43.2%
Final 5 min
45.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
47.0%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2021 | 2 | 16:33 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| May 4, 2021 | 2 | 13:37 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| May 4, 2021 | 2 | 13:35 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 09:52 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 3 | 02:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 1 | 17:49 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |