Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Strome wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 58.0% vs Thompson 45.3% (+14.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 88.0%
Defensive zone
Strome 54.1%
Neutral zone
Strome 71.2%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 68.2%
68.2%
31.8%
Strome
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Strome
Thompson
Last 6: Strome 4-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
0
Strome
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
2
Strome
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (856)
44.9% (642)
+11.3%
Power Play
66.4% (298)
47.9% (94)
+18.5%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
33.3% (33)
+8.4%
On power play, Strome has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Strome is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (358).
Strome shoots left. Thompson is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Home / Away
Strome
Thompson
Home
55.7% (627)
46.0% (391)
Away
62.2% (539)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Strome
Thompson
P1
61.6%
48.1%
P2
54.5%
44.9%
P3
60.4%
41.2%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
57.6%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
58.7%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 16:00 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 1, 2025 | OT | 00:23 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 1, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 17:44 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 16:48 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:41 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |