Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Jost on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Strome wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 52.1% vs Jost 42.2% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 85.6%
Defensive zone
Jost 80.3%
Neutral zone
Strome 50.8%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Strome
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Strome
Jost
Last 6: Strome 3-3 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Jost
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jost
1
2
Strome
Jost
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Strome
Jost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (684)
40.8% (314)
+9.8%
Power Play
58.9% (192)
37.5% (8)
+21.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
39.4% (104)
-6.1%
On power play, Strome has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Strome is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (580).
Strome shoots left. Jost is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Strome
Jost
Home
51.3% (448)
42.8% (264)
Away
53.4% (431)
36.4% (162)
By Period
Strome
Jost
P1
51.4%
37.4%
P2
54.6%
40.5%
P3
50.7%
43.3%
Final 5 min
53.2%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
52.3%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 04:43 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 3 | 10:46 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 09:07 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 2 | 05:49 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 2 | 01:01 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 16:47 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |