Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Luostarinen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Luostarinen wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Haula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 52.3% vs Haula 54.3% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 52.6%
Defensive zone
Haula 81.7%
Neutral zone
Haula 60.5%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 63.5%
36.5%
63.5%
Luostarinen
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Luostarinen
Haula
Last 8: Luostarinen 5-3 Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
2
Luostarinen
Haula
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Luostarinen
3
0
Luostarinen
Haula
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Luostarinen
Haula
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (153)
57.6% (684)
-4.0%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
46.0% (63)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (15)
45.5% (145)
+14.5%
On penalty kill, Luostarinen has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Luostarinen is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Luostarinen shoots left. Haula is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Haula
Home
53.3% (92)
56.3% (449)
Away
54.0% (87)
53.3% (443)
By Period
Luostarinen
Haula
P1
52.2%
58.4%
P2
49.1%
54.9%
P3
60.0%
52.0%
Final 5 min
62.2%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
42.0%▼
48.5%
53.6%
Haula
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2023 | 3 | 19:35 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 3 | 19:27 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 3 | 16:43 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 3 | 11:13 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 3 | 02:36 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 2 | 16:33 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 2 | 07:11 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 1 | 02:31 | Offensive | Eetu Luostarinen |