Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +15.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Luostarinen wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Benn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 41.1% vs Benn 54.7% (-15.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 51.3%
Defensive zone
Luostarinen 69.8%
Neutral zone
Luostarinen 67.3%
Result
Eetu Luostarinen favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Luostarinen
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Luostarinen
Benn
Last 6: Luostarinen 2-4 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
2
Luostarinen
Benn
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Luostarinen
Benn
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
0
1
Luostarinen
Benn
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (708)
55.3% (709)
-14.2%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
58.3% (127)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
29.8% (84)
47.3% (55)
-17.5%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Luostarinen is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (531).
Luostarinen shoots left. Benn is 58.4% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Benn
Home
38.8% (402)
56.2% (443)
Away
41.3% (400)
54.2% (448)
By Period
Luostarinen
Benn
P1
40.7%
55.4%
P2
42.9%
54.1%
P3
36.2%
55.6%
OT
0.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
38.2%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
42.0%▼
48.5%
40.0%
Benn
52.0%▼
54.0%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2022 | 3 | 09:17 | Offensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 3 | 09:06 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 2 | 07:51 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 2 | 16:31 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 2 | 07:28 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 2 | 04:07 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |