Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +17.0% FO% edge overall. Luostarinen wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 41.1% vs Carter 56.4% (-17.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 81.2%
Defensive zone
Luostarinen 82.7%
Neutral zone
Luostarinen 82.9%
Result
Eetu Luostarinen favored at 82.3%
82.3%
17.7%
Luostarinen
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Luostarinen
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Luostarinen
Carter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Luostarinen
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (708)
57.9% (885)
-16.8%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
61.7% (133)
-11.7%
Penalty Kill
29.8% (84)
45.4% (119)
-15.6%
On even strength, Carter has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Luostarinen is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (271).
Luostarinen shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Carter
Home
38.8% (402)
58.2% (543)
Away
41.3% (400)
55.9% (594)
By Period
Luostarinen
Carter
P1
40.7%
57.5%
P2
42.9%
57.1%
P3
36.2%
55.8%
OT
0.0%
68.2%
Final 5 min
38.2%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
40.0%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 12:43 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 06:35 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 11:50 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |