Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Luostarinen wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 41.1% vs Pavelski 52.2% (-12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 84.1%
Defensive zone
Luostarinen 93.9%
Neutral zone
Luostarinen 90.4%
Result
Eetu Luostarinen favored at 86.2%
86.2%
13.8%
Luostarinen
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Luostarinen
Pavelski
Last 6: Luostarinen 0-6 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
4
Luostarinen
Pavelski
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
2
Luostarinen
Pavelski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (708)
52.5% (570)
-11.4%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
54.5% (145)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
29.8% (84)
44.4% (36)
-14.6%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Luostarinen is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (271).
Luostarinen shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Pavelski
Home
38.8% (402)
55.0% (391)
Away
41.3% (400)
49.7% (360)
By Period
Luostarinen
Pavelski
P1
40.7%
50.8%
P2
42.9%
55.0%
P3
36.2%
52.0%
OT
0.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
38.2%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
40.0%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2022 | 2 | 13:22 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 19:31 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 2 | 13:03 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 2 | 09:55 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 16:08 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 08:28 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |