Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Luostarinen wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 41.1% vs Bonino 51.2% (-11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 69.1%
Defensive zone
Luostarinen 73.3%
Neutral zone
Luostarinen 77.0%
Result
Eetu Luostarinen favored at 73.1%
73.1%
26.9%
Luostarinen
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Luostarinen
Bonino
Last 5: Luostarinen 1-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Luostarinen
Bonino
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Luostarinen
Bonino
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
2
Luostarinen
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (708)
51.7% (777)
-10.6%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
60.0% (50)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
29.8% (84)
43.9% (98)
-14.1%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Luostarinen is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (531).
Luostarinen shoots left. Bonino is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (629).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Bonino
Home
38.8% (402)
48.2% (461)
Away
41.3% (400)
54.5% (464)
By Period
Luostarinen
Bonino
P1
40.7%
54.1%
P2
42.9%
49.7%
P3
36.2%
50.7%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
38.2%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
40.0%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 17:02 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 17:15 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 14:44 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 17:53 | Offensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 17:17 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |