Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Luostarinen wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 41.1% vs Gagner 47.5% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 67.7%
Defensive zone
Luostarinen 64.7%
Neutral zone
Luostarinen 67.2%
Result
Eetu Luostarinen favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Luostarinen
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Luostarinen
Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
1
Luostarinen
Gagner
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
1
Luostarinen
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (708)
51.3% (158)
-10.2%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
66.7% (36)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
29.8% (84)
33.6% (110)
-3.8%
On power play, Gagner has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Luostarinen is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (271).
Luostarinen shoots left. Gagner is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (240).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Gagner
Home
38.8% (402)
53.2% (154)
Away
41.3% (400)
40.0% (150)
By Period
Luostarinen
Gagner
P1
40.7%
35.6%
P2
42.9%
52.7%
P3
36.2%
51.9%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
38.2%
34.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
42.0%▼
48.5%
40.0%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2021 | 3 | 08:10 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 1 | 18:01 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |