Eetu Luostarinen vs Tage Thompson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (43.8% vs 44.7%). Luostarinen wins 40.7% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 47.2% vs Thompson 45.3% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 53.3%
Defensive zone
Thompson 63.0%
Neutral zone
Thompson 59.4%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Luostarinen
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Luostarinen
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Luostarinen
1
0
Luostarinen
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Luostarinen
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Luostarinen
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (56)
44.9% (642)
+3.3%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
47.9% (94)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (13)
33.3% (33)
-2.5%
On power play, Thompson has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Luostarinen is 40.7% vs right-shot opponents (27).
Luostarinen shoots left. Thompson is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Thompson
Home
40.7% (27)
46.0% (391)
Away
45.3% (53)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Luostarinen
Thompson
P1
47.8%
48.1%
P2
39.1%
44.9%
P3
42.4%
41.2%
OT
100.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
47.4%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
43.8%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 19:03 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 18:49 | Offensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 09:02 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |