Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Luostarinen wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 41.1% vs Nosek 53.4% (-13.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 75.4%
Defensive zone
Luostarinen 88.0%
Neutral zone
Luostarinen 85.5%
Result
Eetu Luostarinen favored at 85.0%
85.0%
15.0%
Luostarinen
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Luostarinen
Nosek
Last 5: Luostarinen 0-5 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Luostarinen
Nosek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
3
Luostarinen
Nosek
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Luostarinen
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (708)
55.1% (557)
-14.0%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
50.0% (4)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
29.8% (84)
47.7% (111)
-17.9%
On penalty kill, Nosek has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Luostarinen is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (531).
Luostarinen shoots left. Nosek is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (392).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Nosek
Home
38.8% (402)
52.3% (342)
Away
41.3% (400)
55.5% (330)
By Period
Luostarinen
Nosek
P1
40.7%
49.0%
P2
42.9%
53.8%
P3
36.2%
57.9%
Final 5 min
38.2%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
40.0%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 06:33 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 04:25 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 3 | 07:55 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 2 | 10:21 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 2 | 02:06 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |