Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Stepan wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.5% vs Lindholm 53.9% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 80.4%
Defensive zone
Stepan 80.9%
Neutral zone
Stepan 81.9%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 81.3%
81.3%
18.7%
Stepan
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Stepan
Lindholm
Last 9: Stepan 1-8 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
2
Stepan
Lindholm
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
2
Stepan
Lindholm
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
4
Stepan
Lindholm
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (991)
55.8% (636)
-9.0%
Power Play
48.8% (211)
57.1% (161)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (174)
44.3% (140)
+4.0%
On even strength, Lindholm has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Stepan is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (418).
Stepan shoots right. Lindholm is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (226).
Home / Away
Stepan
Lindholm
Home
48.6% (666)
56.1% (490)
Away
46.1% (710)
52.3% (447)
By Period
Stepan
Lindholm
P1
46.3%
53.2%
P2
50.7%
57.1%
P3
45.5%
53.0%
OT
39.1%
40.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.3%
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 1 | 15:39 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 3 | 11:21 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 3 | 02:25 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 1 | 17:23 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 1 | 14:54 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 1 | 03:59 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |