Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings). Stepan wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Lindholm 53.8% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 25-10 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 88.2%
Defensive zone
Stepan 91.5%
Neutral zone
Stepan 91.6%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 90.5%
90.5%
9.5%
Stepan
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
25
(35 meetings)
10
25
Stepan
Lindholm
Last 10: Stepan 3-7 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
10
Stepan
Lindholm
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
6
8
Stepan
Lindholm
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
3
7
Stepan
Lindholm
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
53.8% (8,505)
-7.3%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
59.3% (1,734)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
48.1% (1,610)
-3.9%
On power play, Lindholm has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Stepan is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,991).
Stepan shoots right. Lindholm is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,738).
Home / Away
Stepan
Lindholm
Home
47.6% (6,608)
54.1% (5,943)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
53.6% (5,906)
By Period
Stepan
Lindholm
P1
47.5%
54.1%
P2
45.6%
54.5%
P3
46.8%
53.0%
OT
40.7%
53.6%
Final 5 min
47.5%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 15:55 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 07:33 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 04:22 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 15:55 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 03:22 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 5, 2019 | OT | 00:47 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 04:27 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 1 | 18:37 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 1 | 15:39 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 3 | 11:21 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 3 | 02:25 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 1 | 17:23 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 1 | 14:54 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 1 | 03:59 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 3 | 06:03 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 1 | 00:24 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 2 | 18:06 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |