Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.8% vs Rodrigues 47.3% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 70.0%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 67.1%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 71.9%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 68.6%
31.4%
68.6%
Lindholm
Rodrigues
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Lindholm
Rodrigues
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
0
1
Lindholm
Rodrigues
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
0
1
Lindholm
Rodrigues
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Rodrigues
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (722)
47.9% (637)
+6.5%
Power Play
62.2% (164)
47.9% (71)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (83)
37.3% (67)
+12.1%
On power play, Lindholm has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rodrigues shoots right. Lindholm is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Lindholm shoots right. Rodrigues is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (201).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Rodrigues
Home
55.8% (541)
48.3% (429)
Away
54.7% (428)
45.4% (346)
By Period
Lindholm
Rodrigues
P1
54.8%
48.3%
P2
55.7%
46.9%
P3
55.6%
45.6%
OT
0.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
53.8%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.3%
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 06:13 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 11:59 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |