Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.7% vs 55.0%). Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Lindholm wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Miller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.4% vs Miller 54.5% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 17-14 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 50.2%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 54.3%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 53.7%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Lindholm
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
17
(31 meetings)
14
17
Lindholm
Miller
Last 10: Lindholm 3-7 Miller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
5
Lindholm
Miller
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
7
6
Lindholm
Miller
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
5
6
Lindholm
Miller
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (1,124)
55.7% (589)
+2.0%
Power Play
52.9% (155)
60.9% (138)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (259)
47.2% (159)
+1.4%
On power play, Miller has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Lindholm is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,140).
Lindholm shoots right. Miller is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (304).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Miller
Home
55.7% (760)
56.1% (440)
Away
55.8% (778)
53.8% (446)
By Period
Lindholm
Miller
P1
53.7%
52.3%
P2
58.3%
54.7%
P3
55.1%
57.2%
OT
59.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.8%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.7%
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 16:57 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 11:06 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 06:06 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 18:24 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 15:23 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 00:13 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 18:55 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 09:07 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 09:03 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 06:37 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 31, 2023 | OT | 02:30 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 31, 2023 | 3 | 15:41 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 31, 2023 | 3 | 14:20 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 31, 2023 | 3 | 07:28 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 31, 2023 | 2 | 17:58 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 31, 2023 | 2 | 16:06 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |