Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lindholm wins 57.8% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.8% vs McBain 50.9% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 55.4%
Defensive zone
McBain 55.2%
Neutral zone
McBain 60.1%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Lindholm
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lindholm
McBain
Last 5: Lindholm 2-3 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
2
Lindholm
McBain
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
McBain
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
0
1
Lindholm
McBain
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (722)
52.1% (545)
+2.3%
Power Play
62.2% (164)
57.1% (14)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (83)
37.0% (46)
+12.4%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Lindholm is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (699).
Lindholm shoots right. McBain is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Home / Away
Lindholm
McBain
Home
55.8% (541)
52.2% (289)
Away
54.7% (428)
50.0% (316)
By Period
Lindholm
McBain
P1
54.8%
52.6%
P2
55.7%
53.6%
P3
55.6%
47.1%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.3%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 18:24 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 3 | 01:14 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 2 | 01:08 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 17:31 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 17:26 | Offensive | Jack McBain |