Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings). Lindholm wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.8% vs McBain 46.7% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 18-13 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 90.4%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 66.7%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 79.6%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 80.3%
80.3%
19.7%
Lindholm
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
13
(31 meetings)
18
13
Lindholm
McBain
Last 10: Lindholm 5-5 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
10
4
Lindholm
McBain
14 total
Defensive Zone
Even
5
5
Lindholm
McBain
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
3
4
Lindholm
McBain
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (8,505)
48.0% (2,298)
+5.8%
Power Play
59.3% (1,734)
49.0% (51)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (1,610)
35.7% (308)
+12.4%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Lindholm is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,111).
Lindholm shoots right. McBain is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (990).
Home / Away
Lindholm
McBain
Home
54.1% (5,943)
49.0% (1,359)
Away
53.6% (5,906)
44.0% (1,298)
By Period
Lindholm
McBain
P1
54.1%
46.7%
P2
54.5%
47.5%
P3
53.0%
45.6%
OT
53.6%
37.5%
Final 5 min
52.6%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
53.8%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 18:24 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 3 | 01:14 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 2 | 01:08 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 17:31 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 17:26 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 06:17 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 04:11 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 07:16 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Apr 10, 2024 | 2 | 07:27 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 11:01 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 08:54 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 06:37 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 01:16 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 07:55 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 05:18 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 11:45 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 00:28 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 09:58 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 19:46 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 15:12 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |