Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lindholm wins 57.8% vs left-shot opponents — Rossi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.8% vs Rossi 50.4% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 69.7%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 67.0%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 58.6%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 68.1%
68.1%
31.9%
Lindholm
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Lindholm
Rossi
Last 5: Lindholm 3-2 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Rossi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
1
Lindholm
Rossi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (722)
52.8% (400)
+1.6%
Power Play
62.2% (164)
36.1% (36)
+26.1%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (83)
37.0% (27)
+12.4%
On power play, Lindholm has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Lindholm is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (699).
Lindholm shoots right. Rossi is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Rossi
Home
55.8% (541)
50.0% (242)
Away
54.7% (428)
51.1% (221)
By Period
Lindholm
Rossi
P1
54.8%
54.9%
P2
55.7%
48.7%
P3
55.6%
47.9%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.3%
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | OT | 00:49 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 09:53 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 04:35 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 01:26 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 18:34 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |