Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Lindholm wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Rossi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.8% vs Rossi 46.9% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 18-10 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 87.8%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 96.0%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 86.1%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 90.4%
90.4%
9.6%
Lindholm
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
10
(28 meetings)
18
10
Lindholm
Rossi
Last 10: Lindholm 7-3 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
3
4
Lindholm
Rossi
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
8
3
Lindholm
Rossi
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
7
3
Lindholm
Rossi
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (8,505)
47.0% (2,140)
+6.8%
Power Play
59.3% (1,734)
47.3% (188)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (1,610)
34.1% (44)
+14.0%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Lindholm is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,111).
Lindholm shoots right. Rossi is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (843).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Rossi
Home
54.1% (5,943)
47.8% (1,207)
Away
53.6% (5,906)
45.7% (1,165)
By Period
Lindholm
Rossi
P1
54.1%
47.3%
P2
54.5%
44.8%
P3
53.0%
48.3%
OT
53.6%
45.8%
Final 5 min
52.6%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
53.8%
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | OT | 00:49 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 09:53 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 04:35 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 01:26 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 18:34 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 11:37 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 09:46 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 15:52 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 15:31 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 06:04 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 05:43 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 02:31 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 08:15 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 00:48 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 2 | 17:38 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 10:47 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 04:42 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 01:15 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 01:10 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |