Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.8% vs Zibanejad 51.6% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 63.3%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 60.1%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 60.0%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Lindholm
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
Lindholm
Zibanejad
Last 10: Lindholm 5-5 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Zibanejad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
3
4
Lindholm
Zibanejad
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Lindholm
Zibanejad
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (722)
53.4% (770)
+1.0%
Power Play
62.2% (164)
46.2% (39)
+16.0%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (83)
44.7% (141)
+4.7%
On power play, Lindholm has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Lindholm is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Lindholm shoots right. Zibanejad is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Zibanejad
Home
55.8% (541)
49.0% (429)
Away
54.7% (428)
54.1% (521)
By Period
Lindholm
Zibanejad
P1
54.8%
53.0%
P2
55.7%
51.1%
P3
55.6%
51.0%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.3%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 19:01 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 13:43 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 04:39 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 15:47 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 15:30 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 12:09 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 09:12 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 06:20 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 04:39 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 14:58 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 12:20 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 09:05 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 02:31 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 15:53 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 05:26 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |