Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.8% vs Zibanejad 51.7% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Lindholm
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
Lindholm
Zibanejad
Last 10: Lindholm 5-5 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Zibanejad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
3
4
Lindholm
Zibanejad
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Lindholm
Zibanejad
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (555)
53.8% (591)
-0.3%
Power Play
61.1% (113)
47.4% (38)
+13.7%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (61)
43.6% (117)
+5.6%
On power play, Lindholm has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Lindholm is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Lindholm shoots right. Zibanejad is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (200).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Zibanejad
Home
55.5% (431)
48.2% (307)
Away
52.7% (298)
54.4% (439)
By Period
Lindholm
Zibanejad
P1
52.3%
54.0%
P2
54.8%
51.0%
P3
56.3%
50.6%
OT
0.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
58.0%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.3%
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 19:01 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 13:43 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 04:39 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 15:47 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 15:30 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 12:09 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 09:12 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 06:20 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 04:39 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 14:58 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 12:20 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 09:05 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 02:31 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 15:53 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 05:26 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |