Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Lindholm wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.9% vs Bjugstad 49.3% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 57.5%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 70.9%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 68.4%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 69.6%
30.4%
69.6%
Lindholm
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Lindholm
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
2
Lindholm
Bjugstad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (944)
50.7% (906)
+6.6%
Power Play
61.1% (162)
48.1% (108)
+13.0%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (230)
44.4% (239)
+4.7%
On power play, Lindholm has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Lindholm is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Lindholm shoots right. Bjugstad is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Bjugstad
Home
55.2% (667)
49.8% (643)
Away
57.5% (669)
48.7% (610)
By Period
Lindholm
Bjugstad
P1
54.7%
49.4%
P2
55.5%
50.5%
P3
58.5%
47.9%
OT
64.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
56.4%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2024 | OT | 03:38 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 11:15 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 01:44 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 00:20 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |