Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lindholm wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.9% vs Suzuki 52.4% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 65.5%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 57.2%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 60.0%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Lindholm
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Lindholm
Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
Lindholm
Suzuki
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
2
Lindholm
Suzuki
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (944)
51.3% (1,096)
+6.0%
Power Play
61.1% (162)
59.9% (157)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (230)
56.9% (58)
-7.8%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Lindholm is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Lindholm shoots right. Suzuki is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Suzuki
Home
55.2% (667)
54.2% (638)
Away
57.5% (669)
51.0% (673)
By Period
Lindholm
Suzuki
P1
54.7%
51.5%
P2
55.5%
53.3%
P3
58.5%
52.4%
OT
64.7%
58.3%
Final 5 min
53.4%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
56.4%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 09:44 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 11:46 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 06:52 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 18:43 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |