Elias Lindholm vs Pavel Buchnevich

2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Elias Lindholm holds a +17.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Buchnevich on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lindholm wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Lindholm 54.9% vs Buchnevich 41.2% (+17.9%)
H2H factor Buchnevich leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone Lindholm 52.5%
Defensive zone Lindholm 60.8%
Neutral zone Lindholm 57.6%
Result Elias Lindholm favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Lindholm Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
5 - 5 (10 meetings)
5
5
Lindholm Buchnevich
Last 10: Lindholm 5-5 Buchnevich

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
1
2
Lindholm Buchnevich
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lindholm Buchnevich
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
1
Lindholm Buchnevich
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Lindholm
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (937)
37.0% (211)
+17.9%
Power Play
60.4% (265)
50.0% (10)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (172)
28.6% (7)
+20.8%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +20.8% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Lindholm is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,115).
Lindholm shoots right. Buchnevich is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (74).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Buchnevich
Home
54.4% (688)
35.6% (87)
Away
56.1% (686)
38.3% (141)
By Period
Lindholm
Buchnevich
P1
57.2%
36.3%
P2
54.3%
37.6%
P3
54.2%
38.1%
Final 5 min
54.1%
36.2%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%
58.5%
55.2%
Buchnevich
36.0%
38.5%
37.3%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Nov 16, 2024 3 19:26 Neutral Elias Lindholm
Nov 16, 2024 2 12:34 Neutral Elias Lindholm
Nov 16, 2024 2 09:36 Defensive Elias Lindholm
Nov 16, 2024 2 00:59 Defensive Pavel Buchnevich
Nov 16, 2024 1 12:50 Offensive Pavel Buchnevich
Nov 16, 2024 1 10:56 Defensive Elias Lindholm
Nov 12, 2024 3 18:13 Neutral Pavel Buchnevich
Nov 12, 2024 3 08:57 Offensive Pavel Buchnevich
Nov 12, 2024 2 19:46 Offensive Elias Lindholm
Nov 12, 2024 2 19:38 Defensive Pavel Buchnevich