Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 21 meetings). Lindholm wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.8% vs Zacha 49.1% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 21-20 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 58.9%
Defensive zone
Zacha 59.8%
Neutral zone
Zacha 57.6%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Lindholm
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
21
(41 meetings)
20
21
Lindholm
Zacha
Last 10: Lindholm 5-5 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
4
6
Lindholm
Zacha
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
12
9
Lindholm
Zacha
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
4
6
Lindholm
Zacha
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (8,505)
48.9% (5,102)
+4.9%
Power Play
59.3% (1,734)
55.6% (804)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (1,610)
42.2% (555)
+5.9%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Lindholm is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,111).
Lindholm shoots right. Zacha is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,539).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Zacha
Home
54.1% (5,943)
49.7% (3,353)
Away
53.6% (5,906)
48.5% (3,108)
By Period
Lindholm
Zacha
P1
54.1%
49.9%
P2
54.5%
49.2%
P3
53.0%
48.1%
OT
53.6%
53.1%
Final 5 min
52.6%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
53.8%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 18:35 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 13:55 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 01:50 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 11:15 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 19:36 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 18:42 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 16:12 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 01:18 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 13:15 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 04:22 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 04:11 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 18:12 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 06:26 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 04:07 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 14:06 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 09:48 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 02:43 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 00:32 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 01:24 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |