Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 21 meetings). Lindholm wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.7% vs Zacha 49.1% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 21-20 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 58.9%
Defensive zone
Zacha 57.6%
Neutral zone
Zacha 56.5%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Lindholm
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
21
(41 meetings)
20
21
Lindholm
Zacha
Last 10: Lindholm 5-5 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
4
6
Lindholm
Zacha
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
12
9
Lindholm
Zacha
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
4
6
Lindholm
Zacha
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (8,338)
48.8% (4,953)
+4.9%
Power Play
59.2% (1,683)
55.8% (788)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (1,588)
42.0% (547)
+6.1%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Lindholm is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (8,933).
Lindholm shoots right. Zacha is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,472).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Zacha
Home
54.0% (5,833)
49.6% (3,278)
Away
53.5% (5,776)
48.5% (3,010)
By Period
Lindholm
Zacha
P1
53.9%
49.9%
P2
54.4%
49.1%
P3
52.9%
47.9%
OT
53.6%
54.9%
Final 5 min
52.8%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.7%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 18:35 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 13:55 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 01:50 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 11:15 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 19:36 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 18:42 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 16:12 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 01:18 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 13:15 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 04:22 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 04:11 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 18:12 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 06:26 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 04:07 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 14:06 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 09:48 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 02:43 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 00:32 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 01:24 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |