Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lindholm wins 57.8% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.8% vs Krebs 45.5% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 94.5%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 79.8%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 83.3%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 89.3%
89.3%
10.7%
Lindholm
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Lindholm
Krebs
Last 5: Lindholm 4-1 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
3
0
Lindholm
Krebs
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Krebs
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
1
Lindholm
Krebs
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (722)
44.6% (388)
+9.8%
Power Play
62.2% (164)
25.0% (4)
+37.2%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (83)
45.0% (20)
+4.4%
On power play, Lindholm has a +37.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Lindholm is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (699).
Lindholm shoots right. Krebs is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Krebs
Home
55.8% (541)
46.8% (188)
Away
54.7% (428)
42.4% (224)
By Period
Lindholm
Krebs
P1
54.8%
47.2%
P2
55.7%
44.9%
P3
55.6%
41.1%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.3%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 16:49 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 14:28 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 19:55 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 14:40 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |