Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lindholm wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.9% vs Krebs 49.2% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 92.5%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 67.2%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 79.5%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 78.1%
78.1%
21.9%
Lindholm
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Lindholm
Krebs
Last 7: Lindholm 5-2 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
1
Lindholm
Krebs
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
3
1
Lindholm
Krebs
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (937)
49.5% (560)
+5.4%
Power Play
60.4% (265)
52.6% (38)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (172)
43.3% (67)
+6.1%
On power play, Lindholm has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Lindholm is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,115).
Lindholm shoots right. Krebs is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Krebs
Home
54.4% (688)
49.4% (314)
Away
56.1% (686)
48.7% (351)
By Period
Lindholm
Krebs
P1
57.2%
47.0%
P2
54.3%
50.5%
P3
54.2%
50.0%
OT
54.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.1%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.2%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 04:23 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 17, 2025 | OT | 04:09 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Mar 17, 2025 | OT | 00:47 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 3 | 01:13 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 2 | 07:01 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 10:08 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 02:51 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |