Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.7% vs 56.0%). Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Lindholm wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.4% vs Faksa 55.1% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 78.4%
Defensive zone
Faksa 61.0%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 57.7%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 69.6%
69.6%
30.4%
Lindholm
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Lindholm
Faksa
Last 9: Lindholm 7-2 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
7
0
Lindholm
Faksa
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
0
2
Lindholm
Faksa
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (1,124)
56.7% (413)
+1.0%
Power Play
52.9% (155)
56.3% (16)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (259)
53.7% (123)
-5.1%
On penalty kill, Faksa has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Lindholm is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,140).
Lindholm shoots right. Faksa is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (262).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Faksa
Home
55.7% (760)
56.3% (261)
Away
55.8% (778)
55.7% (291)
By Period
Lindholm
Faksa
P1
53.7%
58.6%
P2
58.3%
55.0%
P3
55.1%
55.0%
OT
59.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
59.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.7%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | OT | 02:37 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 3 | 08:34 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 2 | 17:19 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 2 | 02:33 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 1 | 08:23 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 1 | 01:54 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 06:44 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 09:43 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 09:09 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |