Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.4% vs Johnson 52.1% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 75.2%
Defensive zone
Johnson 62.4%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 50.3%
Result
Reese Johnson favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Lindholm
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Lindholm
Johnson
Last 6: Lindholm 3-3 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Johnson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
2
Lindholm
Johnson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (1,124)
55.4% (186)
+2.3%
Power Play
52.9% (155)
100.0% (3)
-47.1%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (259)
37.8% (37)
+10.8%
On power play, Johnson has a +47.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Lindholm is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Lindholm shoots right. Johnson is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (72).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Johnson
Home
55.7% (760)
51.6% (95)
Away
55.8% (778)
54.2% (131)
By Period
Lindholm
Johnson
P1
53.7%
46.7%
P2
58.3%
50.5%
P3
55.1%
58.9%
Final 5 min
51.8%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.7%
Johnson
54.0%▲
51.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 18:33 | Defensive | Reese Johnson |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 09:27 | Defensive | Reese Johnson |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 05:23 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 05:13 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 09:39 | Neutral | Reese Johnson |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 06:23 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |