Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +15.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Colton on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lindholm wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.9% vs Colton 45.2% (+15.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 73.4%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 92.5%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 85.5%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 85.0%
85.0%
15.0%
Lindholm
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Lindholm
Colton
Last 6: Lindholm 4-2 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
0
Lindholm
Colton
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colton
1
2
Lindholm
Colton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Colton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (937)
41.3% (75)
+13.6%
Power Play
60.4% (265)
35.3% (17)
+25.1%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (172)
40.0% (5)
+9.4%
On power play, Lindholm has a +25.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Lindholm is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,115).
Lindholm shoots right. Colton is 36.0% vs right-shot opponents (25).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Colton
Home
54.4% (688)
42.9% (49)
Away
56.1% (686)
37.5% (48)
By Period
Lindholm
Colton
P1
57.2%
48.9%
P2
54.3%
33.3%
P3
54.2%
31.8%
Final 5 min
54.1%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.2%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
40.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 01:30 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 3 | 13:47 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 3 | 12:38 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 2 | 07:32 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 1 | 08:39 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 1 | 02:32 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |