Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.2% vs 55.3%). Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Lindholm wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.9% vs Aho 54.9% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 59.4%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 74.4%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 62.3%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Lindholm
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Lindholm
Aho
Last 10: Lindholm 6-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
5
2
Lindholm
Aho
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
4
0
Lindholm
Aho
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
1
3
Lindholm
Aho
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (937)
54.5% (870)
+0.4%
Power Play
60.4% (265)
62.4% (266)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (172)
37.1% (62)
+12.3%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Lindholm is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,115).
Lindholm shoots right. Aho is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Aho
Home
54.4% (688)
53.9% (603)
Away
56.1% (686)
56.8% (595)
By Period
Lindholm
Aho
P1
57.2%
54.1%
P2
54.3%
55.0%
P3
54.2%
57.4%
OT
54.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.1%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.2%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 07:44 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 18:49 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 14:41 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 07:01 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 18:55 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 15:47 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 10:30 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 10:21 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 02:34 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 18:11 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 16:33 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 13:03 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |