Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Pinto on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.8% vs Pinto 50.7% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 50.6%
Defensive zone
Pinto 84.0%
Neutral zone
Pinto 68.6%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 70.5%
29.5%
70.5%
Lindholm
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Lindholm
Pinto
Last 8: Lindholm 2-6 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
1
Lindholm
Pinto
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
2
5
Lindholm
Pinto
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (722)
50.2% (520)
+4.2%
Power Play
62.2% (164)
68.0% (25)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (83)
49.4% (89)
+0.0%
On power play, Pinto has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Lindholm is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Lindholm shoots right. Pinto is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (174).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Pinto
Home
55.8% (541)
48.8% (301)
Away
54.7% (428)
52.6% (333)
By Period
Lindholm
Pinto
P1
54.8%
51.2%
P2
55.7%
48.9%
P3
55.6%
53.3%
OT
0.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
53.8%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.3%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2025 | 3 | 14:04 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 2 | 07:24 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 2 | 03:28 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 1 | 15:07 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 1 | 10:25 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 1 | 03:06 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 1 | 01:33 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |