Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.9% vs 52.4%). Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lindholm wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 52.7% vs Crosby 52.3% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 72.7%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 75.2%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 51.5%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Lindholm
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Lindholm
Crosby
Last 9: Lindholm 6-3 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
3
1
Lindholm
Crosby
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
3
0
Lindholm
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Lindholm
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (1,156)
50.8% (1,169)
+1.6%
Power Play
59.6% (198)
60.2% (261)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (238)
45.0% (20)
+4.6%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Lindholm is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,221).
Lindholm shoots right. Crosby is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (521).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Crosby
Home
52.3% (771)
53.2% (726)
Away
53.5% (821)
51.7% (724)
By Period
Lindholm
Crosby
P1
50.7%
51.3%
P2
55.3%
52.1%
P3
54.0%
54.1%
OT
29.6%
45.8%
Final 5 min
55.2%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
52.9%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2021 | OT | 04:32 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 29, 2021 | OT | 03:54 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 29, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 3 | 06:07 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 3 | 00:23 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 1 | 18:10 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 1 | 18:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 1 | 06:45 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 1 | 00:56 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |