Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 52.7% vs Seguin 55.4% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 53.6%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 52.4%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 50.5%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Lindholm
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Lindholm
Seguin
Last 7: Lindholm 2-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Lindholm
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
2
3
Lindholm
Seguin
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Lindholm
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (1,156)
56.5% (712)
-4.1%
Power Play
59.6% (198)
59.7% (67)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (238)
44.9% (49)
+4.7%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Lindholm is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (371).
Lindholm shoots right. Seguin is 63.8% vs right-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Seguin
Home
52.3% (771)
58.5% (402)
Away
53.5% (821)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Lindholm
Seguin
P1
50.7%
58.4%
P2
55.3%
54.7%
P3
54.0%
54.1%
OT
29.6%
72.7%
Final 5 min
55.2%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
52.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 4, 2021 | OT | 00:20 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 14:05 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 13:49 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 1 | 17:50 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 1 | 07:35 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 1 | 04:56 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |