Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.4% vs Johnston 44.8% (+12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 57.7%
Defensive zone
Johnston 50.7%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 50.1%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Lindholm
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Lindholm
Johnston
Last 6: Lindholm 3-3 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Lindholm
Johnston
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
3
2
Lindholm
Johnston
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (1,124)
42.5% (318)
+15.2%
Power Play
52.9% (155)
55.6% (9)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (259)
62.5% (8)
-13.9%
On even strength, Lindholm has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Lindholm is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Lindholm shoots right. Johnston is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Johnston
Home
55.7% (760)
40.5% (168)
Away
55.8% (778)
46.1% (167)
By Period
Lindholm
Johnston
P1
53.7%
46.9%
P2
58.3%
40.4%
P3
55.1%
41.9%
OT
59.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.7%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 18:10 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 13:56 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 3 | 14:12 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 1 | 14:53 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 15:34 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |